All kidding aside, we are RED hot. Two of our experts, Pat Mayo and Brandon Gdula, were on Dustin Johnson at 28-1 last week, a number that looks increasingly absurd given how DJ looked like his former World No. 1 self at the Travelers Championship (click below to listen to our conversation with Mayo, in which he tells us how he picked DJ and offers advice for anyone looking to get into betting on golf).
This week’s Rocket Mortgage Classic could prove to be a bit more difficult to handicap, as the field is the weakest of the post-quarantine events. Only three of the world’s top-11 players—Webb Simpson, Patrick Reed and Bryson DeChambeau—are teeing it up. We’re not making excuses already, we’re just saying this week, which will be a birdie-fest, is anybody’s tournament to win (evidenced by Nate Lashley winning last year as an alternate).
Read on to see who we like this week at the 2020 Rocket Mortgage Classic.
Rocket Mortgage Classic 2020: Picks To Win (Odds from BetMGM)
Anonymous Caddie Picker of the week: Bryson DeChambeau (6-1) — I know, the value isn’t here. But hey, if you’ve been following our experts in this column, you should be up big money. Put some of that here on what I think is bound to happen. Bryson’s game is so impressive right now. He’s going to tear this course apart with him length and pinpoint approaches. If he putts well it will be his week, he just needs to be patient because his recent close calls have clearly been frustrating. It’s the mental part that could hold him back; every part of his game seems to be clicking.
Pat Mayo, DraftKings/Fantasy National analyst: Kevin Na (40-1) — On a betting board devoid of any value, Kevin Na is the glimmer of hope. Will he win? I mean, probability would say, “No”, but he has a better chance than most the golfers above him. This is the type of course where Na generally excels—an emphasis on irons over driving, Bentgrass greens, a weak field. Here’s a question: The last two years who has more PGA wins? Kevin Na, or Bryson DeChambeau, Rickie Fowler, Tony Finau, Scottie Scheffler, Hideki Matsuyama, and Victor Hovland combined? Clearly I wouldn’t have asked if the answer wasn’t KEVIN NAAAAAAAAA.
Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: Sungjae Im (22-1) — I do quite like the top of the field this week and my win model actually shows some positive value on Webb Simpson (12-1), Tyrrell Hatton (14-1) and Patrick Reed (16-1), which is really odd to see at the top of the betting board. However, Im comes at a much better price due to his short-sample struggles. Im finished 21st here a year ago and ranked seventh in strokes gained/tee to green. I’m fine taking the discount on Im, whose long-term form is great.
Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Viktor Hovland (20-1) — Hovland…